Winter Weather - Diagnostics

Moisture/Lift/Instability
850 mb Temperature Advection
850 mb Frontogenesis
850-700 mb Frontogenesis
700 mb Frontogenesis
700-500 mb Frontogenesis
850 mb Frontogenesis 800-750 mb EPV
700 mb Frontogenesis 650-500 mb EPV
Mid Level Lapse Rates
850 mb Moisture Transport

Mesoscale bands of heavy snow are favored where frontogenetic circulations are embedded within an unstable thermodynamic enviroment (slantwise or vertical) . 

  • Geostrophic Equivalent Potential Vorticity (EPVg) < 0 suggest parcels will be unstable to slantwise motions within that layer of the atmosphere. EPVg as an ingredient to mesoscale banded precipitation is best evaluated in a 50-100 mb layer directly above where frontogensis is being analyzed.
  •  If EVPg is < 0 in this layer, the ageostrophic frontogenetic circulation will be enhanced. If elevated CAPE or steep lapse rates are also present, the parcels unstable to slantwise motion will become unstable in the vertical, resulting in upright convection. 

Thermodynamics
SFC Wet Bulb
925 mb
850 mb
Freezing Level

Precipitation Type and Lake Effect Snow
Near-Freezing Surface Temps
Critical Thickness
Lake Effect Snow 1
Lake Effect Snow 2

HRRR Snowfall and Precipitation Type Forecasts
2 Hour
4 Hour
2 Hour
4 Hour

RAP Precipitation Type Forecasts

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